Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,377$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(552 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(17.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,198.5}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 53.0)}}\) (asimptote \(10,198.5\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $561$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(108 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{507.3}{1 + 10^{-0.063 (t - 25.4)}}\) (asimptote \(507.3\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,070$ on 2020-05-19
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,629$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(50.7 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{43,440.9}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 118.8)}}\) (asimptote \(43,440.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $61$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(7.43 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{483.1}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 112.4)}}\) (asimptote \(483.1\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,278$ on 2020-05-19
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $332$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(143 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(41.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.7}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(333.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(4.77 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(45.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.8}{1 + 10^{-0.083 (t - 11.7)}}\) (asimptote \(9.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $0$ on 2020-05-19
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,618$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(154 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(18.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,252.3}{1 + 10^{-0.093 (t - 31.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,252.3\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $7$ on 2020-05-19
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $578$ on 2020-05-19
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $13,484$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(464 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{25,908.0}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 66.5)}}\) (asimptote \(25,908.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $659$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(66.9 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(17.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{752.8}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 39.3)}}\) (asimptote \(752.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,083$ on 2020-05-19
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $335$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(9.37 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{452.4}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 50.0)}}\) (asimptote \(452.4\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-05-19
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $247$ on 2020-05-19
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,502$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(6.15 \times 10^{0.040t}\) (doubling rate \(7.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,956.8}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 70.8)}}\) (asimptote \(5,956.8\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $12$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(0.288 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{18.8}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 55.1)}}\) (asimptote \(18.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,172$ on 2020-05-19
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,529$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(299 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,997.7}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 49.5)}}\) (asimptote \(4,997.7\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $140$ on 2020-05-19
Best fit exponential: \(10.2 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(12.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{200.6}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 40.5)}}\) (asimptote \(200.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,822$ on 2020-05-19